There are murmurs starting up right now about the EU making UK's exit messy and harsh to try and dissuade other countries from leaving in the future (at least on US news) . Do any of you think the EU would make and example of the UK?
It looks like the EU is apply a bit of pressure today. I do believe the EU should help in the process of UK's exit but it looks like they may be trying to slam the door as soon as possible. Kind of like a parent who is mad at thier teenager and roughly throws them out the door onto the street. http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/25/eu-emergency-talks-brexit-berlin
There will def be a temptation to make it more harsh. UK won't get a better deal, it will get a different deal. It's apples and oranges, thus, it'll be hard to make a comparison between the "new" and "old" deal. However, I feel that EU leaders won't have to make the negotiations harsh - the self inflicted damage will be big enough as it is. Of course, I might be proven wrong and the UK might thrive outside EU. Time will tell.
One way or another I would fully expect that to be the official line. If you build a coalition based on demonizing the EU, there's no downside to further demonizing them on the way out.
I'm pretty confident they will, though I expect particularly harsh proposals will begin negotiations and be blunted somewhat over time. However, the immediate financial cost of the vote may become a pretty significant penalty for the UK economy well before EU exit terms come into focus. Those costs alone may be enough to bring about a new "whoops, about that..." referendum (I like "Bregret" for this possibility, but the Brit press is much better at portmanteaus than I am). Revotes are not totally without precedent either - Ireland, Denmark and France have all had revotes over EU treaty issues. But if the UK does leave, Merkel will make sure they don't leave without feeling some real pain for the rest of the EU to see and benefit from. Germany has much to lose from a disintegrating EU right now, and holds most of the cards in the EU's financial conversations.
There are murmurs starting up right now about the EU making UK's exit messy and harsh to try and dissuade other countries from leaving in the future (at least on US news) . Do any of you think the EU would make and example of the UK?
It looks like the EU is apply a bit of pressure today. I do believe the EU should help in the process of UK's exit but it looks like they may be trying to slam the door as soon as possible. Kind of like a parent who is mad at thier teenager and roughly throws them out the door onto the street.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/25/eu-emergency-talks-brexit-berlin
There will def be a temptation to make it more harsh. UK won't get a better deal, it will get a different deal. It's apples and oranges, thus, it'll be hard to make a comparison between the "new" and "old" deal. However, I feel that EU leaders won't have to make the negotiations harsh - the self inflicted damage will be big enough as it is. Of course, I might be proven wrong and the UK might thrive outside EU. Time will tell.
One way or another I would fully expect that to be the official line. If you build a coalition based on demonizing the EU, there's no downside to further demonizing them on the way out.
I'm pretty confident they will, though I expect particularly harsh proposals will begin negotiations and be blunted somewhat over time. However, the immediate financial cost of the vote may become a pretty significant penalty for the UK economy well before EU exit terms come into focus. Those costs alone may be enough to bring about a new "whoops, about that..." referendum (I like "Bregret" for this possibility, but the Brit press is much better at portmanteaus than I am). Revotes are not totally without precedent either - Ireland, Denmark and France have all had revotes over EU treaty issues. But if the UK does leave, Merkel will make sure they don't leave without feeling some real pain for the rest of the EU to see and benefit from. Germany has much to lose from a disintegrating EU right now, and holds most of the cards in the EU's financial conversations.