9 years ago
10
The really worrying financial crisis is happening in China, not Greece
China looks like it is heading for its version of the 1929 stock market crash
Continue Reading http://www.telegraph.co.uk
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This is genuinely terrifying. There's gonna be worldwide consequences if this truly happens as described.
I don't see it being that big of deal on a world stage, at least not directly. You don't see a worldwide pump into Chinese markets, it's nearly all internal. It will be interesting to see the pullback on Chinese foreign equity investment and liquidation of whatever percentage of assets this brings about.
Compare the Shanghai composite index and the classic bubble stages chart to see what's coming.
That's pretty textbook. Very alarming.
I'm no economist and it looks to me like events like this are pretty well-predicted. My question is: why aren't there measures to prevent these events?
So that's what happens when you let the invisible hand of the free market run amok? If only we had historical precedents to learn from.
Nah, let's just keep doing it and allow our economies to return to destructive boom-and-bust cycles.
According to the other link that's been posted (article is here: http://www.vox.com/2015/7/7/8910293/china-stock-market-crash), the crash happened as a result of several rounds of increasing restrictions on "trading on margin"; using borrowed money to ride the stock market. Apparently the restrictions were so well-enforced that it actually chopped growth off at the knees, and the market fell into free-fall.
I'm not saying that regulation is bad (it's not), but they clearly went overboard in an attempt to curb their bubble-like growth, and ended up causing the same kind of market contraction they were trying to prevent. Of course, I would assume it's likely that the bust would've been far more dramatic if they had let the bubble find its natural end.
So this happened due too much or too strict regulation, but reading what you said it would end up happening anyway, so what should have been done to avoid it?
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