There is no doubt in my mind that this influx due to the AMAgeddon on Reddit is a sign of Reddit's final decline. The numbers are staggering. If you check /r/blackout2015, you will see a post detailing the site visit counts and web page rankings. Reddit dropped 9 places this weekend in the rankings and shows a significant loss in traffic.
I think this will get worse as more mods and content creators leave the site. The content creators are what fuel traffic on Reddit, without them the site becomes a tired, hollow, experience that serves to merely echo what has already been posted on other sites.
After the initial shockwave (should be over soon), we should see the exodus slow down but keep trickling off until the company can no longer justify keeping the servers up. This will take a good while, probably a year or so, but will be the end of Reddit. The only thing I can see derailing this would be Ellen Pao getting fired. That one action could completely revive the site.
For those questioning, I did not simply pull this out of my rear-end... but I kind of did. My analysis is based on traffic patterns, my own experience, and the great Digg fall. It is, by no means, a solid fact but I feel that there is enough evidence for it to be a valid prediction. Based on the information, this is where I see things headed.
There is no doubt in my mind that this influx due to the AMAgeddon on Reddit is a sign of Reddit's final decline. The numbers are staggering. If you check /r/blackout2015, you will see a post detailing the site visit counts and web page rankings. Reddit dropped 9 places this weekend in the rankings and shows a significant loss in traffic.
I think this will get worse as more mods and content creators leave the site. The content creators are what fuel traffic on Reddit, without them the site becomes a tired, hollow, experience that serves to merely echo what has already been posted on other sites.
After the initial shockwave (should be over soon), we should see the exodus slow down but keep trickling off until the company can no longer justify keeping the servers up. This will take a good while, probably a year or so, but will be the end of Reddit. The only thing I can see derailing this would be Ellen Pao getting fired. That one action could completely revive the site.
For those questioning, I did not simply pull this out of my rear-end... but I kind of did. My analysis is based on traffic patterns, my own experience, and the great Digg fall. It is, by no means, a solid fact but I feel that there is enough evidence for it to be a valid prediction. Based on the information, this is where I see things headed.