Mapping the 2016 Electorate: Demographics Don't Guarantee a Democratic White House
History shows it's extremely difficult for a presidential candidate to succeed a two-term president of the same party, especially one with approval ratings as middling as President Obama's. The "time for change" dynamic in 2016 should no doubt benefit Republicans. However, a common Democratic counter-argument is that the shifting demographics of the American electorate will continue to doom the GOP in the Electoral College. It's true that Democrats continue to benefit enormously from the rise...
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How Much Will Demographics Help Hillary Clinton?
Like many neutral and even liberal analysts, Wasserman frames this finding in a very cautious way. His headline is “Mapping the 2016 Electorate: Demographics Don’t Guarantee a Democratic White House.” And, of course, nobody thinks demographics guarantee a Democratic White House.
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