8 years ago
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Solar activity predicted to fall 60% in 2030s, to 'mini ice age' levels: Sun driven by double dynamo
This is not about Global Warming but a study claiming to be able to predict Solar activity,
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http://www.sciencedaily.com
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Can someone much smarter than me explain how this interacts with the data presented in this post? I looked up the last mini ice age, and it seems like there was global cooling anywhere from 1-8C depending on where they looked. So would the sun be able to cool us off enough to prevent a larger rise in ocean levels?
I'm not smarter than you but I'll try. The mini ice age prediction lasts 10 to 20 years, the rise in sea levels is a prediction says a 1 meter rise by 2100 or 85 years from now. After the mini ice age the Sun's activity would return to normal and climate change would continue. If anything a mini ice age during 2030s would increase the levels of CO2 in the air, there would be a lot of cold people burning fossil fuels to keep warm, and probably increase the rate of global warming more than if there wasn't one. Of course this is all hypothetical depending on the validity of the Solar Activity predictions.
Ahh okay. I guess if the ice age would last longer, it may have more of an impact. I'm not sure a cooling of a few degrees would impact the burning of fossil fuels that much. Thank you for responding, though!
Cooling oceans would absorb more CO2, and recede. Climate change science at best is conjecture, as are any professed consequences.
Is there a source for the actual paper anywhere?
I see that it was due to be presented July9 at NAM2015, but nothing else beyond the same press blurb.
I did a google search and did not find anything other than several news articles. I'm not familiar enough with the process to know if findings need to be published before or after being presented at a conference.